Sunday, January 29, 2012

1/30/12 Bracket

Selection Sunday is six weeks away.
Here is the latest projection of what the field will be on March 11 -
(Not what the field would be if season ended today.)

Be sure to check out all the brackets in the Bracket Matrix:

1 seeds: Syracuse, Kentucky, Ohio St, Duke

Syracuse bounced back from its first loss of the season with two good wins against Cincinnati & West Virginia. Kentucky picked up two road wins against lower tier SEC teams in Georgia & LSU. Ohio St. picked up a solid home win against rival Michigan. Duke outlasted Maryland on the road and held off a pesky St. Johns team on Saturday.

2 seeds: North Carolina, Kansas, Michigan St, Missouri

North Carolina beat NC State at home and routed Ga. tech on the road. Kansas who always struggles at Iowa St was the latest top team to see a court storming in person. Michigan St. quietly continues to improve and remains dominant at home in a strong Big 10 conference. Missouri fell on the road to Okla. St, but still can hang their hat on huge road win at Baylor last week.

3 seeds: UNLV, Florida, Baylor, Vanderbilt

UNLV continues to lead a underrated Mountain West Conference and their win over North Carolina in November will be huge for them come March. Florida is beginning to mesh and picked up a quality win over Miss. St on Saturday. Baylor rebounded from a tough last week to beat bubble bound Texas and Oklahoma this week. Vanderbilt continues to improve and schedule sets up nicely for at least third place in the SEC.

4 seeds: St. Mary's, Michigan, Marquette, Wisconsin

St. Mary's leads a deep West Coast Conference, their showdown at Gonzaga on Feb 9 will go a long way to determine their seed. Michigan showed toughness in Columbus Sunday, but will need to find a third scorer behind Hardway & Burke. Marquette has quietly climbed to second place after winning six in a row, but have a difficult closing schedule. Wisconsin has rebounded from a rough 0-3 conference start and has won 6 in a row.

5 seeds: Creighton, Florida St, West Virgina, Gonzaga

6 seeds: Murray St, UConn, San Diego St, Georgetown

7 seeds: Indiana, Virginia, Illinois, Miss. St

8 seeds: Louisville, Wichita St, Temple, California

9 seeds: Harvard, Kansas St, Purdue, Alabama

10 seeds: Washington, Iowa St, S. Miss, New Mexico

11 seeds: Ole Miss, Notre Dame, Colorado St, Minnesota

12 seeds: Oral Roberts, Dayton, Memphis, Davidson

13 seeds: NC State/Xavier, BYU/St. Louis, Middle Tenn, VCU

14 seeds: Cleveland St, Iona, Long Beach St, Nevada

15 seeds: Belmont, Bucknell, Weber St, Ohio

16 seeds: Norfolk St, Stony Brook, Southern Univ/Coastal Carolina, Lamar/Wagner

Last Four In: NC State, Xavier, BYU, St. Louis

First Four Out: Seton Hall, Texas, Oregon, Arkansas

Next Four Out: UMass, Stanford, S. Florida, Colorado

Monday, January 23, 2012

The First Bracket


As March approaches, it's time to reveal my first bracket projection.
Note: This is a projection of how the teams will finish.
Each week I will also provide a breakdown of the top 12 teams in the bracket.

1 seeds: Syracuse, Kentucky, Ohio State, Kansas

Syracuse suffered their first loss at Notre Dame Saturday but their top 5 strength of schedule (SOS) still makes them the overall 1 seed. Kentucky held serve at home this week beating Arkansas and a pesky Alabama team. Ohio St finally found some rythm on the road beating Nebraska. Kansas had a big week dominating Baylor at home then holding off Texas in Austin.

2 seeds: Duke, Missouri, North Carolina, Michigan St.

Duke suffered its first home loss since 2009, but its strong SOS and RPI will keep it no lower than a 2 seed come tournament time. Missouri pulled off one of the nation's most impressive wins of the year by beating Baylor on the road. UNC rebounded from their blow-out loss at Florida St, with a win over the always on the bubble Virgina Tech Hokies. Michigan St lost a hard fought game at Michigan, but handly beat Purdue at home on Saturday.

3 seeds: Georgetown, Florida, Baylor, West Virginia

Georgetown shot only 29% from the field against Rutgers but still got the win. Florida is beginning to look like the second best team in the SEC with its balanced scoring. Baylor played two top 8 teams this week and lost both. West Virginia's big overtime win over Cincinnati and favorable schedule down the stretch gives them the last 3 seed.

4 seeds: Michigan, Vanderbilt, UNLV, UCONN

5 seeds: St. Marys, Wisconsin, Gonzaga, Marquette

6 seeds: Creighton, Kansas St, San Diego St, Indiana

7 seeds: Alabama, Illinois, Louisville, Florida St

8 seeds: Purdue, Temple, Seton Hall, New Mexico

9 seeds: Texas, Cincinnati, Xavier, Stanford

10 seeds: Harvard, Virginia, Dayton, Davidson

11 seeds: Wichita St, Cleveland St, Iowa St, Miss. St

12 seeds: Minnesota, Oral Roberts, Marshall, California,

13 seeds: BYU, VCU, Oregon/Southern Miss, Northern Iowa/St. Louis

14 seeds: Nevada, Long Beach St, Ohio, Iona

15 seeds: Weber St, Belmont, Wagner, Bucknell

16 seeds: Texas Southern, Norfolk St, Stony Brook, Lamar, Denver, Coastal Carolina

Last Four IN: Oregon, Southern Miss, Northern Iowa, St. Louis

Last Four OUT: Notre Dame, NC State, Arkansas, Memphis

Be sure to check out my blog for updates and analysis later this week!